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Phasing out publicly subsidised pre-retirement schemes would also help in this regard as would enhanced vocational training for workers approaching the older age group. Incentives for female labour force participation could be strengthened by limiting access to imputed contributions to the pension scheme for child rearing and by enhancing the supply and affordability of child care. Easing strict EPL would improve employment prospects for women and young workers, especially if average growth slows, as such a slowing would make EPL regulations more of a constraint to adjusting employment to desired levels in a downturn: widespread layoffs would be required in a lower growth environment, not just reductions in the rate of (positive) employment growth.

1. 9. Difference in labour productivity growth between 1998-2003 and 1986-1994 In sectors where contributions declined in Luxembourg1 Percentage points Financial intermediation 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 -2 -2 -4 -4 -6 -6 LUX FRA BEL NLD FIN GBR Percentage points USA ESP PRT ITA AUT AUS JPN Manufacturing 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 -1 -1 -2 -2 -3 -3 -4 -4 LUX FRA BEL NLD Percentage points FIN GBR USA ESP PRT ITA AUT AUS JPN Community social and personal services 1 1 0 0 -1 -1 -2 -2 -3 -3 LUX FRA BEL NLD FIN GBR USA ESP PRT ITA AUT AUS JPN 1.

INSURING AGAINST LOWER ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE LONG TERM While growing specialisation in high value added sectors, notably financial services, has been the key to achieving such high per capita incomes, it may have contributed to making the Luxembourg economy one of the most volatile in the OECD. With such specialisation expected to increase for some time to come, this being the basis of higher projected growth than in other European countries in the medium term, the economy may become still more volatile.

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Economist report by economist

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